MartiniPundit

Random thoughts and insights – always shaken, never stirred

New England Sheep

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E.J. Dionne, no friend to the right or those of us who prefer an America led by the people instead of the ‘elites’ clings to the silver lining for his ilk:

A Pew Research Center survey released last week underscored stark regional disparities that could shape the outcome. The survey found that while Democrats trail Republicans by three points among all registered voters in the South, they are ahead of the GOP by nine points in the Northeast.

Because of the enthusiasm gap, Republicans do better among those who now seem most likely to vote. Yet the regional variations are even more pronounced in this group: While Republicans are ahead by one point among likely voters in the Northeast, they lead by 15 points in the South. Almost all of the divergence is driven by white voters: Among white likely voters in the Northeast, Republicans have a 10-point lead; in the South, their lead is 35 points.

The emergence of the Northeast as a potential Democratic firewall has been a long time in the making. The steady realignment of the South toward the Republicans, which rendered the party increasingly conservative, called forth a counter-realignment among moderates in the North.

He had better hope. What looms here is either the irrelevancy of New England or even worse for the Dionnes, a split electorate that elects a Scott Brown to Ted Kennedy’s seat. Oh wait, that happened.

Maybe New England voters aren’t sheep after all.

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Written by martinipundit

September 28, 2010 at 1:12 am

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